Tuesday, December 20, 2011

What is the chance of Mehrune's Razor to proc?

Question

I recently obtained the Mehrune's Razor dagger. The enchantment is "Hits have a small chance to instantly kill". What are the chances of the effect working?

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Answer

Testing can be awfully bloody sometimes. Just ask Constance Michel:

For Science!

So I went around in god mode with the Mehrune's Razor and tested it on a bunch of NPCs after doing the following:

  1. Disable their AI via tai
  2. Set their health to 5000 via setav health 5000 (so they don't die to regular damage)
  3. Go on a rampage spree in Riften

Here are the # of hits before dying:

  • 15
  • 14
  • 1 (Super unlucky guard)
  • 114 (Super lucky guard)
  • 39
  • 3
  • 36
  • 51
  • 21
  • 46
  • 67
  • 28
  • 66
  • 66
  • 19
  • 70
  • 22
  • 76
  • 34
  • 18
  • 29
  • 36
  • 61
  • 47
    Average: 38.8333333 hits (stdev 26.8, which is quite high...)

This works out to be ~2.57% +/-1.78% margin of error

If anyone wants to provide more sample points, go right ahead. For now, I'm going to conclude that the chance to proc is roughly 2.5%

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